Saturday, February 9, 2008

Blog Cuttings 2

Nothing's better guaranteed to make you feel smug than old forecasts - check out the Usborne Book of the Future: how the year 2000 looked from the vantage point of 1979. Actually, it's delightful - and their forecasts for the 'house of the future' and 'computers in the home' weren't a million miles off.

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And here are some technology forecasts for 2008 from the vantage point of, er, February 2008: though I think many of the forecasts suffer from the (by now familiar) observation that technology innovation happens a lot faster than technology adoption.

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Looking a tad further ahead, two big picture energy scenarios to 2050 from Big Oil's poster child: Shell no less. Shell effectively invented the scenario forecasting technique. My money's on 'Scramble' rather than 'Blueprint' - though I'd sleep better if I thought the latter were the likelier scenario ...

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Sticking with energy, there have been a lot of calls recently for a 'proper debate' in Ireland about nuclear energy. Perhaps we don't need to as the debate has already taken place. I'm with one of the contributors who concludes that "this makes nuclear power one of those necessary, but not sufficient, components of our energy future in the near and long terms."

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If all this futures talk is making you think about your own future, then check out this excellent source of career advice on a post card (well, 21 cards to be precise). Very funny, very perceptive observations on life, work and careers (you'll LOL at no. 14): from the wonderful Jessica Hagy.

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