Tuesday, April 28, 2009

The Outlook is Sunnier

The latest EPA report - Climate Change: Refining the Impacts for Ireland - is good news for the Irish tourism industry. Allowing for all the uncertainties and assumptions that go with forecasts 50-100 years into the future, the authors are predicting a sunnier outlook for Ireland.

The only significant challenge will be water management: dealing with the risk of flooding in the winter and the risk of drought in the summer. We've got a little time to learn how countries with mean temperatures 1.4-1.8°C above our own right now cope with the same issues (that's the EPA's range of projected temperature increases for Ireland by 2050 by the way). The graph from the report shows mean seasonal projected temperature increases out to 2080.

But overall, the outlook is sunnier - a lot sunnier. Now that's something to look for to. Okay: maybe something for my (as yet unborn) grandchildren to look forward to.

1 comment:

  1. And if the weather is going to be wetter and colder? The sunspot activity is very low and getting less. Maunder minimum, anyone?
    There is much money to be made by manipulating people to go against their own interests. Al Gore is not as benign as you might think!


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