Monday, January 11, 2016

Sliding, Not Slipping

It's not too late for some 'year ahead' prognostications. John Michael Greer offers up his own, summarised succinctly thus:
Thus my core prediction for 2016 is that all the things that got worse in 2015 will keep on getting worse over the year to come.
Based on 2016 year-to-date this one may well be on track.

The Archdruid sets out a few, more specific forecasts:
I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that the next tech bust will be under way by the end of 2016.
the mass marketing of what will inevitably be called “the PV [photovoltaic] revolution” will get under way in 2016.
Then there's:
the most likely outcome of the 2016 election is the inauguration of Donald Trump as President in January 2017.
Wrapping up with:
I’m going to plop for a date and say that the Saudi regime will be gone by the end of 2016. 
I think he's on fairly safe ground with his first forecast as I don't think there's enough QE wind left to fill the sails of an even bigger stock market bubble - for all stocks, not just tech. Regarding PV, I simply don't know enough on the topic: so I'll pass on that one.

As for President Trump, I agree. If you've been following Scott Adams' blog it's hard to see how Trump can be stopped (and if there's anything in rumours about Hillary Clinton's health issues she might not even end up in the frame against him).  Even 'Democrat Defectors' are turning Trump, shown in this fascinating 'dial test' among voters of Trump's first TV ad.

Finally, I don't think the Saudi regime will be gone by the end of 2016 - they have enough reserves to buy their self-preservation for another year or two. At least I hope so, otherwise we might all be checking out photovoltaics...

And on the sad day that's in it - here's a different kind of forecast from The Man Who Fell to Earth:

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